ISIS Continues to Agitate for European Attacks: Is Germany Next?

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ICSVE’s new Brief Report 

by Ahmet S. Yayla, Ph.D. & Anne Speckhard, Ph.D.

ISIS  has issued a statement on the Brussels attacks sharing the pictures of two perpetrators of the Brussels airport attacks, Brothers Khalid El Bakraoui, on the left, and Ibrahim El Bakraoui on the right as reported by Raqqa is Silently being Slaughtered.

ISIS claimed in its An-Naba’ Newsletter (pictured above) that their Brussels military campaign was successfully executed. In the newsletter, they praised their fighters’ efforts and how bravely they completed their mission to attack against the heart of Europe. They referred to the Brussels attacks as their “Brussels military campaign.”

They also challenged the West with the following statements (roughly translated):

“ISIS soldiers are from now on from the countries we are attacking. Why? Because it is easier for us to carry out those attacks simply because they know the terrain, culture, language and basically all the necessary information regarding that country.”

“Those attacks also show to the whole world how the European countries’ intelligence is weak and incompetent.  WHY? Look we can easily carry the explosives and the weapons at the heart of the airport without any problems. According to us, it is more important for us to scare the Europeans rather than killing them in large quantities. These Brussels attacks proved to the whole world that we can attack anytime and anywhere we would like to.”

“We have many fighters in Europe on hold, so we can carry out simultaneous attacks as we wish in different locations.”

“We can very easily carry out our operations against the European intelligence agencies without any difficulties and you will continue to see that.”

“Oh our brothers, as you can see we can strike their capitals, their propaganda is a complete lie. Look we struck them at their heart, in the middle of Brussels, by only using light weapons and explosives. This alone proves you how vulnerable they are and that they are not winning against us.”

 

Likewise, today ISIS issued a post (reported by Raqqa is Silently being Slaughtered organization) on Twitter threatening the Germans. It’s caption in German picture above asked its fighters to target and achieve the same as their brothers succeeded in Brussels.

Even though, this newsletter is a propaganda piece we can clearly see that ISIS is trying to exaggerate its power and presence in Europe through its narratives by putting the Paris and Brussels attacks to the front. It is also clearly a message to its cadres inside Europe, especially now in Koln, Germany to carry out similar attacks.

Likewise in Belgium, a recruitment text was sent out widely, from ISIS to immigrant descent youth in Molenbeek, with the group probably having gleaned their phone numbers from the telephone contacts of Belgian cadres coming to Syria.  The text sent out following the recent Belgian attacks, written in French implored, “My brother, why not fight the westerners? Make the right choice in your life.”

In our interviews through our ISIS Defectors Interview Project, some of our ISIS defectors mentioned the fact that ISIS has asked its foreign fighters from the West in Syria to return home, doing so by blending into the stream of refugees streaming into their countries. The purpose? To make future attacks and for recruitment purposes.

Reference for this paper: Yayla, Ahmet S. & Speckhard, Anne (March 30, 2016) ISIS Continues to Agitate for European Attacks: Is Germany Next? ICSVE Brief Report http://www.icsve.org/isis-continues-to-agitate-for-european-attacks–is-germany-next-.html

Read the full report here. 

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